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Jubak: Interest rates could skyrocket on Treasury sales
The sale of $500 billion in Treasuries in the first quarter pushed up interest rates. An additional $750 billion is set for sale by September. That’s not good news for the economy.
Jubak: Is drop in GDP a good thing?
First-quarter US GDP may have dropped by 6.1%, yet Wall Street responded with cheers. Jim Jubak says that’s because the recession started to look a little more “normal”. (April 30, 2009)
Jubak: Where should you invest?
An International Monetary Fund report looking at recoveries from credit crunches back to 1970 says that companies with low debt and hefty overseas sales have grown faster. Those are the companies to look at, says Jim Jubak. (April 27, 2009)
Jubak: Will government take over banks?
The recent bank earnings that looked good may actually be bad news. Citigroup and Bank of America have pulled out all the stops to show a profit, which looks like an attempt to ward off a government takeover, says Jim Jubak. (April 23, 2009)
Jubak: The banks are lying
Are bank profits for real? No, says Jim Jubak, because tricks and gimmicks account for all the profits suddenly shown by many banks this quarter. All this does is delay the day of reckoning. (April 20, 2009)
Jubak: Have stocks hit a bottom yet?
Why is it so hard to tell if the economy and the stock market have bottomed? Because we don’t know how many more time bombs are ticking away on bank balance sheets, says Jim Jubak. (April 16, 2009)
Jubak: Fraud investigator eyes big banks
Apparently only one person in Washington is worried that banks might be fibbing to the feds about how bad things really are, says Jim Jubak. Fortunately, that one guy is a special investigator focused on fraud in the bank bailout – and now he’s telling Congress just how worried he is. (April 13, 2009)
Jubak: Is the financial system safe yet?
Derivatives are a bomb that could still blow up the financial system. But just how big of a problem are they? The market for credit default swaps alone is somewhere between $58 trillion and $63 trillion, says Jim Jubak. (April 9, 2009)
Jubak: Has consumer spending bottomed?
If you look at the stock market, you’d think consumer spending has stopped falling. Even though consumers are still paying down debt, retail sales may be on the rise again, says Jim Jubak. (April 6, 2009)
Jubak: Banks start repaying bailout money
4 banks have paid back the government -- 4 small banks. They've given back $338 million borrowed from taxpayers, but don’t expect the big banks to follow suit soon, says Jim Jubak. (April 2, 2009)
Jubak: Is it time to chase stocks?
Last week the Federal Reserve said it would buy $300 billion in Treasurys, sending stocks higher. It was a nice boost to stock prices, says Jim Jubak, but investors need to remember that we’re still in a bear market. (March 23, 2009)
Jubak: Is it time to buy gold?
Gold is looking better than ever in the long-term. The devaluation of the previously rock-solid Swiss franc means the world has one less safe haven in an inflationary crisis, says Jim Jubak. (March 19, 2009)
Jubak: China lost $40 billion
The Chinese government bought a lot of mortgage-backed securities right before the bonds tanked. Now China is trying to lower their risk, which is good news for the US treasury market, says Jim Jubak. (March 16, 2009)
Jubak: The end of the 401(k) match?
This is the time when workers need to rebuild their retirement portfolios decimated by the bear, says Jim Jubak. However, companies have started to cut the cash match on employee contributions. (March 12, 2009)
Jubak: Should Citigroup fail?
If the government decides to let Citigroup fail, everyone that does business with the bank will suffer. Jim Jubak says this isn’t the time to teach banks a lesson because the financial markets are a bit unstable. (March 9, 2009)
Jubak: Key to China’s stimulus package
A rumor that China would announce $800 billion in new stimulus sent stocks rallying. The important question, says Jim Jubak, is whether the money will go to infrastructure as usual or give consumer spending a long-overdue boost. (March 5, 2009)
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